Never Have So Many Polls Been So Wrong – – – Why?

There will be a serious, critical look at the final pre-election polls in the Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire; that is essential. It is simply unprecedented for so many polls to have been so wrong. We need to know why.

New Hampshire: Romney and Clinton in the Lead

Poll: Bloomberg Hurts Giuliani

Support for former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Sen. Hillary Clinton in a theoretical general election matchup in New Jersey, with and without an independent candidacy by New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

WITHOUT BLOOMBERG:

Giuliani, 47 %

Clinton, 44 %

___

WITH BLOOMBERG:

Giuliani, 36 %

Clinton, 36 %

Bloomberg, 18 %

New Jersey could be a place for Giuliani to pick up electoral votes that have gone to Democrats in recent elections. But Bloomberg could change that. New Jersey hasn’t supported a Republican for president since 1988. But the poll has 61 % of Jersey voters holding a favorable view of Giuliani, more than any other presidential contender.

The Quinnipiac University poll surveyed 1,604 New Jersey voters from June 26 to July 2, with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. It included 505 Republicans with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, and 575 Democrats with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

COMPLETE RESULTS AT: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID1080

Lest We Forget….

Bill Clinton pardoned 140 people on his last day in office, including fugitive financier Marc Rich and some Puerto Rican terrorists….

Obama Dents Clinton’s Inevitability

Bloomberg is Hillary’s Perot

New York Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg announced that he was dropping his Republican affiliation, a step that could clear the way for him to make an independent bid for the presidency.

The announcement was released during a campaign-style swing through California.

Bill Clinton was elected twice without a majority because Ross Perot shaved off the Republican vote.

Now Hillary has her vote shaver as well.

Steven Spielberg Crumbles under Heavy Hillary Lobbying

Hillary Clinton’s people have been going after Hollywood director Steven Spielberg in a big way.

Ever since the Left Coast showed the love for Barack Obama, the Clinton camp has been in lobbying overdrive.

Last February, Spielberg, David Geffen and their partner Jeffrey Katzenberg co-sponsored an Obama fundraiser that roped in a whopping $1.3 million.

For weeks Clinton staffers have had their sights set on Spielberg, partially because of the director’s fondness for Hillary’s hubby. They were resolute. They had to get an early endorsement to avoid the impression that the entertainment industry had gone gaga for Obama.

They basically nagged the director, repeatedly pleading for him to declare his support for the New York Senator. He may even have received a call from his old bud Bill Clinton.

If Spielberg had endorsed Obama, it would have been viewed as a rejection of Hillary, much like Spielberg’s partner Geffen has publicly affirmed.

In a statement released through Hillary’s campaign, Spielberg said that he had become familiar with the Democratic candidates and that he was convinced “Hillary Clinton is the most qualified candidate to lead us from her first day in the White House.”

The grab for Hollywood cash is of great interest to Democrats who in the 2006 election cycle received 63% of the $23 million donated, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.

The media are filled with stories about how Hillary has now won the Tinseltown money battle.

But with Obama backers like George Clooney, Lawrence Bender, Geffen, Katzenberg and Oprah Winfrey, it’s way too early to say where the most Hollywood dough will eventually go.

George Clooney, Brad Pitt and Matt Damon’s ’08 Presidential Picks

George Clooney, Brad Pitt and Matt Damon recently took time out from hawking their “Ocean”’s sequel to engage in some presidential prognostication.

Clooney told Time Magazine, “I like Barack Obama a lot. I’ve spent some time with him.”

He divulged that he “actually had that conversation with him,” revealing that he told Obama, “Look, I’ll give you whatever support you need—including staying completely away from you.”

The actor is impressed with the Illinois senator’s charisma. “When other politicians stop and listen, that’s how you know what charisma is. You can’t teach that. He walks into a room and you go, ‘That’s a leader,’ “ Clooney said.

“Actors have done a lot of damage to candidates lately,” Clooney explained. “My father ran for Congress in 2004, and it was ‘Hollywood vs. the Heartland!’ My father was Hollywood.”

Clooney’s father lost the election.

Damon jumped on the Obama bandwagon as well. “I’m an Obama guy too. I think a lot of the problems in the world would be mitigated if he were the face of our country. I haven’t ever met him or talked to him, but he’s the first person in a long time who I’ve been inspired by,” Damon said.

Pitt is whistling a different tune. He has endorsed everyone who is running. “I’m just hungry for some honesty and leadership. And I’m following them all—on all sides.”

Clooney had some unsolicited advice for a potential Republican candidate. “I’m just hoping Gingrich gets in. Come on, Newt!”

Hillary’s Hollywood Hopes

Brett Ratner just completed a cameo appearance on HBO’s hit show “Entourage.”

The show features a hip, hard partying group of guys who would likely feel at home with Dem presidential candidate Barack Obama. However, their comfort level with Hillary Clinton may be a different story.

After a successful Obama fundraising outing, which was held at trendy Hollywood nightspot Boulevard 3 and drew the likes of Jessica Biel and Taye Diggs, Hillary apparently wants a piece of the young celebrity action, too.

Ratner’s mansion in the hills will be the venue for a lower cost affair for Hillary, which is planned to appeal to a more casual crowd.

For $250 per person, $500 for the after-party inclusion and $1,000 for the bonus VIP reception treatment, you can hear Hillary at a house that at various times was inhabited by Ingrid Bergman, Kim Novak and James Caan.

Ratner tells Variety that the event will be “fun” and draw a crowd that may be turned off by the sort of “stuffy, kind of uptight” events fundraisers usually are.

“What is exciting is I think a lot of people are going to come and hear Hillary speak that normally wouldn’t go to a political fund-raiser,” Ratner said. “That is what is exciting about the way we are doing it. The list [of attendees] is a very interesting list.”

On the committee roster for Hillary’s event are Christina Aguilera, Penelope Cruz, Heather Graham, Eva Longoria, Jeremy Piven and Mike Myers.

Before Hillary shows up at Ratner’s fund fest, she’ll seek the serious money at a more mature affair co-hosted by Dem stalwarts Steven Spielberg and Haim Saban.

Coincidentally, on the very same night just down the road a ways at the Beverly Hills Hotel, a fundraiser will be held for former New York mayor and current Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani.

On another Left Coast note, Ben Affleck recently went into a tawdry tirade while appearing on a cable talk show.

The actor, who, by the way, is seen by many in the Democratic Party as a future political candidate, was a panelist on “Real Time with Bill Maher,” HBO’s political answer to “The Jerry Springer Show.”

In response to a question about Democrats “caving in on this Iraq spending bill,” Affleck said, “These f—ing people. You know what it is? Democrats, this is the f—ing problem with them.”

He then referred to the Dems’ actions with respect to funding the war as “this f—ing giveaway.”

“The Democrats live in fear of basically, you know, being called cowards. Of looking soft on military. Of looking like p-ssies, basically. We’re afraid that somebody’s going to call us a p-ssy,” Affleck said.

“Out of a fear of being criticized, they sacrificed their core political beliefs. And they wonder why people call them f—ing weak,” he added.

In response to Affleck’s allegations, Nancy Pelosi has challenged him to a cage match.